Develop 3 future scenarios for:
**Topic/Situation:** [[TOPIC]]
**Time horizon:** [[YEARS]] years
**Key variables:** [[VARIABLES]]
**Scenario 1 – Best Case (optimistic):**
What factors lead to this? What does the state look like?
**Scenario 2 – Base Case (realistic):**
Most likely outcome based on current trends.
**Scenario 3 – Worst Case (pessimistic):**
What could go wrong? Which weaknesses emerge?
**Early warning signals** – which indicators show which scenario is developing?
**Strategy recommendations** for each scenario.